PAXIFYEarly access

Chance Matthesen

2005 Lotus Elise · SSM · All clubs · 2025–2026
Also: 2005 Lotus Elise (SST, 1 event)

Compare with…
Gap to PAX winner+6.63%Median across 2 events
Run 1 pace+14.63%+7.50% off own best
Cones per event0.50 DNF/DSQ runs
PAX wins00 top-10 finishes

Gap to PAX winner, by event

Higher on the chart is faster

0%2%4%6%8%TXR E5 ’25TXR E6 ’26Each event · TXR E5 ’25: +6.51%Each event · TXR E6 ’26: +6.76%RollingEach event
Each event4-event rolling median

Pace by run number

Median best-so-far gap to the PAX winner after each run

0%5%10%15%20%Run 1Run 2Run 3Run 4Chance · Run 1: +14.63%Chance · Run 2: +10.01%Chance · Run 3: +6.68%Chance · Run 4: +6.63%Chance
Median across 2 events

Cones & DNFs

8 runs across 2 events · a cone is +2 s
Cones per event0.51 total
Clean events1 / 2No cones and no DNFs
Runs coned13%88% of runs clean
DNF runs00.0% of runs
Costly cones1Coned runs faster than the one that counted

By run number

0%20%40%60%Run 1Run 2Run 3Run 4Coned · Run 1: 0%DNF · Run 1: 0%Coned · Run 2: 0%DNF · Run 2: 0%Coned · Run 3: 0%DNF · Run 3: 0%Coned · Run 4: 50%DNF · Run 4: 0%
% of runs coned% of runs DNF

By event

012TXR E5 ’25TXR E6 ’26cleanCones · TXR E5 ’25: 1DNFs · TXR E5 ’25: 0Cones · TXR E6 ’26: 0DNFs · TXR E6 ’26: 0
ConesDNF runs

Costly cones

Coned runs that were faster than the time that counted, before the penalty.

EventRunRawConesCounted bestTime lostPAX pos clean
TXR E5 ’25 Jul 6, 2025476.828+177.9361.108 s12th (was 17th)

Events

Newest first
EventClassPAX posBest rawPAXGapCones
Event 6
Texas Region SCCA · Jul 12, 2026
SSM20 / 14372.73563.861+6.76%0
Event 5
Texas Region SCCA · Jul 6, 2025
SST17 / 11377.93665.232+6.51%1

Observations

Computed
  • Run 1 is typically +14.63% off the PAX winner; Chance finishes around +6.63%, so about 8.0 points come over the remaining runs.
  • Chance is typically within 1 point of final pace by run 3.
  • Median gap went from +6.51% in the first half of these events to +6.76% in the second half.
  • 1 coned run was faster than the time that counted. The biggest, at TXR E5, would have been 1.108 s quicker and 5 PAX places higher clean.