PAXIFYEarly access

Matthew Noll

Scion FRS · XSSC · Spokes / SASCA · 2025–2026
Also: Subaru WRX (XGST, 2 events), Mazda Miata (CST, 2 events), Scion FRS (SSC, 2 events), Mazda Poverty Spec Miata (TCSP, 1 event), Azul Mazda Poverty Spec Miata (TCSP, 1 event), Mazda MX-5 Yeehaw-tuh (UXB, 1 event), Subaru BRZed (XDST, 1 event), 2019 Subaru BRZed (DST, 1 event)

Compare with…
Gap to PAX winner+4.12%Median across 14 events
Run 1 pace+9.89%+4.70% off own best
Cones per event2.72 DNF/DSQ runs
PAX wins07 top-10 finishes

Gap to PAX winner, by event

Higher on the chart is faster

0%2.5%5%7.5%10%SPK #1 ’25SPK #3 ’25SPK #5 ’25SPK #8 ’25SPK #1 ’26SPK #3 ’26SPK #6 ’26SPK #8 ’26Each event · SPK #1 ’25: +2.09%Each event · SPK #2 ’25: +1.63%Each event · SPK #3 ’25: +5.94%Each event · SPK #4 ’25: +7.38%Each event · SPK #5 ’25: +1.99%Each event · SPK #7 ’25: +6.01%Each event · SPK #8 ’25: +4.59%Each event · SPK #11 ’25: +3.54%Each event · SPK #1 ’26: +2.16%Each event · SPK #2 ’26: +8.50%Each event · SPK #3 ’26: +5.60%Each event · SPK #5 ’26: +4.47%Each event · SPK #6 ’26: +1.93%Each event · SPK #8 ’26: +3.77%Each eventRolling
Each event4-event rolling median

Pace by run number

Median best-so-far gap to the PAX winner after each run

0%5%10%15%Run 1Run 2Run 3Run 4Run 5Run 6Matthew · Run 1: +9.89%Matthew · Run 2: +8.34%Matthew · Run 3: +7.29%Matthew · Run 4: +4.45%Matthew · Run 5: +2.16%Matthew · Run 6: +3.54%Matthew
Median across 14 events

Cones & DNFs

63 runs across 14 events · a cone is +2 s
Cones per event2.738 total
Clean events1 / 14No cones and no DNFs
Runs coned41%56% of runs clean
DNF runs23.2% of runs
Costly cones7Coned runs faster than the one that counted

By run number

0%20%40%60%80%Run 1Run 2Run 3Run 4Run 5Run 6Coned · Run 1: 43%DNF · Run 1: 0%Coned · Run 2: 43%DNF · Run 2: 14%Coned · Run 3: 57%DNF · Run 3: 0%Coned · Run 4: 23%DNF · Run 4: 0%Coned · Run 5: 43%DNF · Run 5: 0%Coned · Run 6: 0%DNF · Run 6: 0%
% of runs coned% of runs DNF

By event

02468SPK #1 ’25SPK #3 ’25SPK #5 ’25SPK #8 ’25SPK #1 ’26SPK #3 ’26SPK #6 ’26SPK #8 ’26cleanCones · SPK #1 ’25: 3DNFs · SPK #1 ’25: 0Cones · SPK #2 ’25: 1DNFs · SPK #2 ’25: 0Cones · SPK #3 ’25: 4DNFs · SPK #3 ’25: 0Cones · SPK #4 ’25: 5DNFs · SPK #4 ’25: 0Cones · SPK #5 ’25: 2DNFs · SPK #5 ’25: 1Cones · SPK #7 ’25: 2DNFs · SPK #7 ’25: 1Cones · SPK #8 ’25: 3DNFs · SPK #8 ’25: 0Cones · SPK #11 ’25: 3DNFs · SPK #11 ’25: 0Cones · SPK #1 ’26: 7DNFs · SPK #1 ’26: 0Cones · SPK #2 ’26: 0DNFs · SPK #2 ’26: 0Cones · SPK #3 ’26: 1DNFs · SPK #3 ’26: 0Cones · SPK #5 ’26: 1DNFs · SPK #5 ’26: 0Cones · SPK #6 ’26: 3DNFs · SPK #6 ’26: 0Cones · SPK #8 ’26: 3DNFs · SPK #8 ’26: 0
ConesDNF runs

Costly cones

Coned runs that were faster than the time that counted, before the penalty.

EventRunRawConesCounted bestTime lostPAX pos clean
SPK #3 ’25 Mar 29, 2025446.402+148.4022.000 s5th (was 37th)
SPK #3 ’25 Mar 29, 2025347.014+148.4021.388 s13th (was 37th)
SPK #3 ’25 Mar 29, 2025247.556+148.4020.846 s24th (was 37th)
SPK #4 ’25 May 4, 2025368.550+269.2630.713 s42nd (was 49th)
SPK #11 ’25 Dec 13, 2025536.554+237.0890.535 s3rd (was 8th)
SPK #3 ’25 Mar 29, 2025148.051+148.4020.351 s34th (was 37th)
SPK #11 ’25 Dec 13, 2025437.021+137.0890.068 sSame (8th)

Events

Newest first
EventClassPAX posBest rawPAXGapCones
Autocross #8 (Beeville)
Spokes / SASCA · Oct 4, 2026 · listed as “Matthew N”
XSSC9 / 9159.60848.163+3.77%3
Autocross #6
Spokes / SASCA · Jun 27, 2026
XSSC6 / 17439.95132.280+1.93%3
Autocross #5
Spokes / SASCA · Jun 6, 2026 · listed as “Matthew N”
XSSC7 / 15735.43728.633+4.47%1
Autocross #3
Spokes / SASCA · Mar 28, 2026
TCSP32 / 19650.70942.420+5.60%1
Autocross #2
Spokes / SASCA · Feb 28, 2026
TCSP51 / 18448.32640.448+8.50%0
Autocross #1
Spokes / SASCA · Jan 31, 2026 · listed as “Matthew N”
XGST3 / 12143.03734.946+2.16%7
Autocross #11
Spokes / SASCA · Dec 13, 2025 · listed as “Matthew N”
XGST8 / 13437.08930.042+3.54%3
Autocross #8
Spokes / SASCA · Sep 27, 2025
UXB37 / 19044.08337.382+4.59%3
Autocross #7
Spokes / SASCA · Aug 9, 2025 · listed as “Matthew N”
CST41 / 17847.45939.391+6.01%2 · 1 DNF
Autocross #5
Spokes / SASCA · Jun 7, 2025 · listed as “Matthew N”
XDST3 / 13547.58338.922+1.99%2 · 1 DNF
Autocross #4 (Beeville)
Spokes / SASCA · May 4, 2025 · listed as “Matthew N”
CST49 / 15169.26357.488+7.38%5
Autocross #3
Spokes / SASCA · Mar 29, 2025
DST37 / 21548.40239.592+5.94%4
Autocross #2
Spokes / SASCA · Mar 1, 2025 · listed as “Matthew N”
SSC8 / 15548.21038.664+1.63%1
Autocross #1
Spokes / SASCA · Feb 1, 2025 · listed as “Matthew N”
SSC11 / 14844.44735.646+2.09%3

Observations

Computed
  • Run 1 is typically +9.89% off the PAX winner; Matthew finishes around +4.12%, so about 5.8 points come over the remaining runs.
  • Matthew is typically within 1 point of final pace by run 4.
  • Trending faster: median gap went from +4.59% in the first half of these events to +3.77% in the second half.
  • 2.7 cones per event. Each cone is 2 s, about 3–4% on a 55 s course.
  • Run 2 is where mistakes happen most: 57% of run 2s were coned or DNF.
  • 7 coned runs were faster than the time that counted. The biggest, at SPK #3, would have been 2.000 s quicker and 32 PAX places higher clean.